Hello reader, hope you had a good weekend. We’re keeping today’s post short, with not much action happening in the markets, mainly with VIX nearing its 52 week low, this is a point from where a bounce back can be expected in the index (VIX). Time for option sellers to be cautious, as a rising VIX would lead to losses on both CE and PE side when volatility kicks in, and patiently wait for premiums to rise a bit more to avail better RR on probable trades.
Points to note:
- Currently, markets are moving in a pretty much tight range, which can be identified as a kangaroo market. This has been the case for many weeks now.
- A downtrend on the Dollar Index will result in a good bullish market across the globe.
- It is important to now look at Dow Jones along with S&P 500, and leave NASDAQ 100 aside, since we’ve seen a cyclical top in the IT sector. Same can be said about Nifty IT as well. Crossing the major resistance of 34300-34800 is key here
- Gold charts for an inverse relationship with equities (not a chart generally looked at to take a call on equities) but we’ve seen good outperformance in Gold while global markets have been in a tough phase. A downtrend here would indicate good signs for more upside.
- Index heavyweights to be looked at on Nifty, since both Reliance and HDFC bank constitute around 20% of the index, and a good breakout from this would bring in more momentum for our markets.
- PCR on Nifty currently stands at 0.69.
- Major resistance in the 17800-18000 band for short term.
Have a good trading day, and may the force be with you!
Disclaimer: this post is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI registered analysts. Equity Investments are subject to 100% market risk, please consult your financial advisor before investing.